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LEIPZIG DEKLARASYONU (İngilizce)
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NOTE: The Leipzig
Declaration was made by 100 of the world's leading climatologists. These are the
scientists who are on the front lines of research into global warming and global
climate change. There are less than 200 of these true climatologists in the
world who are emminently qualified to elvaluate the reality of the global
warming issue. Most of the scientists that are quoted by the media as saying
global warming is a reality actually have degrees in other fields--they are not
climatologists!
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The Leipzig Declaration
on Global Climate Change
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As scientists, we-along with our fellow citizens-are
intensely interested in the possibility that human activities may affect the
global climate; indeed, land clearing and urban growth have been changing local
climates for centuries. Historically, climate has always been a factor in human
affairs - with warmer periods, such as the medieval "climate optimum",
playing an important role in economic expansion and in the welfare of nations
that depend primarily on agriculture. For these reasons we must always remain
sensitive to activities that could affect future climate.
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Attention has recently been focused on the increasing
emission of "greenhouse" gases into the atmosphere. International
discussion by political leaders are currently underway that could constrain
energy use and mandate reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from the burning
of fossil fuels. Although we understand the motivation to eliminate what are
perceived to be the driving forces behind a potential climate change, we believe
this approach may be dangerously simplistic. Based on the evidence
available to us, we cannot subscribe to the so-called "scientific consensus"
that envisages climate catastrophes and advocates hasty actions.
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As the debate unfolds, it has become increasingly clear
that - contrary to conventional wisdom - there does not exist today a
general scientific consensus about the importance of greenhouse warming
from rising levels of carbon dioxide. On the contrary, most scientists now
accept the fact that actual observations from earth satellites show no climate
warming whatsoever. And to match this fact, the mathematical climate models are
becoming more realistic and are forecasting temperature increases that are only
30 percent of what was considered the "best" value just four years ago.
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We consider the Global Climate Treaty concluded
in Rio de Janerio ate the 1992 "Earth Summit" to be unrealistic;
its goal is stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gases, which requires that
fuel use be cut by 60 -80 percent worldwide! Energy is essential for all
economic growth, and fossil fuels provide today's principal global energy source.
In a world in which poverty is the greatest social pollutant, any restriction on
energy use that inhibits economic growth should be viewed with caution. For this
reason, we consider "carbon taxes" and other drastic control policies
- lacking credible support from the underlying science - to be ill-advised,
premature, wrought with economic danger, and likely to be counterproductive.
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This statement is based on the International Symposium
on the Greenhouse Controversy, held in Leipzig, Germany on November 9 - 10,
1995, under the sponsorship of the Prime Minister of the State of Saxony. For
further information, contact the Europaeische Akademie fuer Umweltragen (fax +49
- 7071-72939) or The Science and Environmental Policy Project in Fairfax,
Virginia
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Leipzig Declaration Signatories
- Abrams, Elliot Penn. State Univ.;
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- Franzle, Otto Univ Kiel, Germany
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- Apel, John John Hopkins University;
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- Gaynor, John E. Envir. Tech Lab. Boulder, CO
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- Aubrey, David, Woods Hole Ocean. Inst.;
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- Gerholm, Tor Ragnar Univ. of Stocklolm
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- Badura, Leslaw Univ. Kattowitz, Poland;
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- Gleeson, Thomas A. aeronomist, Florida State
Univ;
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- Balling, Robert Arizona State Univ;
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- Gold, Thomas Cornell Univ;
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- Barrett, Jack Kingston-upon -Thames, U.K.;
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- Goodell, H. G. Univ. of Virginia
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- Bauer, Ernst-Waldemar Esslingen, Germany
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- Goodridge, James D. climatologist, Mendocino,
CA
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- Berg, Hermann Sachsisch Akad, Jena, Germany
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- Groeber, Richard F. Dick's Weather
Service, Springfield, OH;
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- Berning, Warren New Mexico State Univ.;
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- Guttman, Nathaniel B. Nat'l Climactic Data
Center, Asheville NC;
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- Boe, Bruce A. Atm. Resource Brd. ND
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- Hales, J. Vern meteor., Las Vegas NV
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- Bourne, Arthur Univ. of London
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- Hayden, Howard D. Univ. of Conn.;
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- Brace, Larry Goddard Space Flight Center, MD;
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- Heyke, H.H. Lichtenwalde, Germany
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- Bye, Matthew meteorologist, San Francisco;
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- Higatsberger, Michael J. Univ. of Vienna;
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- Cain, Joseph Florida State Univ;
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- Hogan, A. W. Jour. Of Aerosols, Atm. Chem.;
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- Clube, S.V. M. Univ. of Oxford
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- Hubbard, William Univ. of Arizona
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- Courtney, Richard Epsom, UK;
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- Kloke, Adolf Univ. of Berlin
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- Csanady, G.T. Old Dominion Univ.;
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- Kohler, Max A. meteor. Silver Spring, MD
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- Cunningham, Robert M.; meteor., Lincoln,
Mass.
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- Kolstad, George A. geophys., Laytonsville,
MD.;
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- Decker, Fred meteor., Corvalis, OR
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- Korber, Erich Univ. Tubingen, Germany
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- Del Re, Giuseppe Rome;
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- Kovach, Robert L. Stanford Univ.;
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- Dietze, Peter Nurnberg, Germany;
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- Leep, Roy meteor, Tampa, FL
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- Dyer, Rosemary Phillips Lab.;
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- Legates, David R. Univ. of Oklahoma;
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- Ellsaesser, Hugh Livermore Nat'l Lab.;
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- Frank, Neil fmr dir. -Hurricane Center;
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